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Introduction (Statistics for Economics)

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1. Scarcity, choice and economics

Human wants are unlimited, but the resources that can satisfy them are scarce and have alternative uses. So individuals and societies must choose. Economics studies how they choose to use scarce resources to satisfy wants.

Example: an imagined family with ₹10,000 a month cannot buy everything; it puts food and school fees first and postpones a holiday.

The economic problem in four steps
In each case a want is postponed, which is the cost of choosing.
Imagined caseWantsLimited resourceChoice made
A family in RangpurFood, school fees, a phone, a holiday₹10,000 a monthFood and fees first; the holiday waits
Farida's bakery in PipalnagarCakes and bread in the morning shiftOne ovenBread now, cakes in the afternoon
A village panchayatA road, a school room, a wellOne year's fundsThe well first

Key terms

Scarcity

The limited availability of resources compared with the wants they could satisfy.

Economics

The study of how individuals and society choose to use scarce resources to satisfy their wants.

Alternative uses

The possibility of putting the same resource to different purposes.

2. Economic activities and agents

Consumption is the use of goods and services to satisfy wants. Production is creating goods and services from inputs. Distribution is the sharing of the income of production among those who helped, as wages, rent, interest and profit.

The economic agents are consumers, producers, service holders and the government. A person can play more than one role.

The three economic activities go on together in every economy.
Table of four economic agents, consumer, producer, service holder and government, with a meaning and an imagined example each
Economic agentMeaningImagined example
ConsumerUses goods and services to satisfy wantsMeena buying vegetables
ProducerOrganises inputs and makes goods or services for salePooja running a chalk factory
Service holderEarns a salary or wage by working for othersRita teaching in a private school
GovernmentProvides public services and raises revenue through taxesThe water department laying pipelines

Key terms

Consumption

Using goods and services to satisfy human wants.

Production

Creating goods and services using land, labour, capital and enterprise.

Distribution

Sharing the income from production among the factors that contributed.

Service holder

A person who earns a salary or wage by working for others.

3. Meaning of statistics

In the plural sense, statistics means numerical facts (data), for example six imagined years of rainfall readings. In the singular sense, statistics is the science of collecting, organising, presenting, analysing and interpreting numerical data.

Statistics: numerical facts (plural) and the science of handling them (singular).

Key terms

Statistics (plural)

Aggregates of numerical facts about a subject.

Statistics (singular)

The science of collecting, organising, presenting, analysing and interpreting numerical data.

4. Quantitative and qualitative data

Quantitative data are measured numerically (income, marks, price). Qualitative data are attributes (gender, region, preference); they cannot be measured but can be counted by categories, and shares can be found: share = count in the category ÷ total × 100.

In the imagined Sarangpur survey of 80 households, 32 earn mainly from farming: 32 ÷ 80 × 100 = 40 per cent.

Table comparing quantitative data, which are measured as numbers such as income, marks and rainfall, with qualitative data, which are attributes such as gender, region and preference and are summarised by counting categories
Quantitative dataQualitative data
NatureMeasured as numbersAttributes or qualities
ExamplesIncome, marks, price, rainfallGender, region, occupation, preference
Summarised byTotals, averages, ranges of valuesCounts and shares by category
Imagined survey of 80 households in Sarangpur.
Imagined survey of 80 households in Sarangpur.
Source of incomeHouseholdsWorkingShare (%)
Farming3232 ÷ 80 × 10040
Wage labour2020 ÷ 80 × 10025
Trade1212 ÷ 80 × 10015
Service1010 ÷ 80 × 10012.5
Other66 ÷ 80 × 1007.5
Total80100

Key terms

Quantitative data

Data measured as numbers.

Qualitative data

Data describing attributes, which can be counted by category.

5. Scope, functions and importance of statistics in economics

  1. Presents facts in a precise, definite form.
  2. Condenses data into summary measures such as averages and ratios.
  3. Finds relationships between economic factors, such as price and quantity demanded, or income and saving.
  4. Forecasting and policy-making, for example planning food stocks from past consumption.
  5. Used by consumers, producers, government and researchers.

Importance: economic theories are tested with data, and policies are framed and judged with data.

Six functions of statistics in economics.
Six figures condensed into one: the average sale.
DayMonTueWedThuFriSatTotalAverage
Sales (₹)4,2003,8004,0004,6005,4005,00027,0004,500
Imagined bakery figures: price and quantity move in opposite directions.
Price of a bun (₹)1012141618
Buns sold per day5044383226
Fall in buns sold for each ₹2 rise6666
Imagined figures; the forecast assumes the trend continues.
Year12345 (forecast)
Monthly rice consumption in Rangpur (tonnes)400420440460480
Rise over the previous year20202020
Table of four users of statistics, consumer, producer, government and researcher, with what each uses it for and an imagined case
UserUses statistics toImagined case
ConsumerCompare prices and qualityAveraging asking prices of seven second-hand scooters
ProducerDecide output and priceA bag maker studying sales in five towns
GovernmentPlan and frame policyMatching ration shops to households in a block
ResearcherTest theoriesChecking whether saving rises with income

Key terms

Forecasting

Estimating future values from the trend in past data.

Summary measure

A single figure, such as an average, that stands for many observations.

6. Limitations of statistics

  1. It deals with aggregates, not single individuals.
  2. Its results hold on the average, not in every case.
  3. It can be misused if data are collected carelessly or interpreted wrongly.

These limits call for careful use; they do not make statistics useless.

Table of three limitations of statistics with a meaning and an imagined illustration each: it deals with aggregates, its results are true on the average, and it can be misused
LimitationWhat it meansImagined illustration
Deals with aggregatesIt describes groups, not a single unitAn average income of ₹36,000 says little about one family
True on the averageA result need not hold in every caseMost richer families save more, but one may not
Can be misusedCareless data or reading gives wrong conclusionsAsking ten people at one counter and claiming all customers agree

Key terms

Aggregate

A total or group of units taken together, as opposed to a single unit.

Exam tips

Common mistakes

  • Defining statistics in only one sense.
  • Calling an attribute such as occupation quantitative.
  • Confusing distribution (sharing the income of production) with the sale of goods.
  • Writing a percentage without showing the formula.
  • Saying an average holds for every individual.

Tips

  • Use a specific example for every function.
  • Mention aggregates and average truth when judging a claim.